<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/' xmlns:georss='http://www.georss.org/georss' xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533</id><updated>2012-02-16T14:14:08.855+01:00</updated><category term='herramienta de probabilidad de éxito'/><category term='Ibex 35'/><category term='Macd'/><category term='osciladores seguidores de tendencia'/><category term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Eurostoxx 50'/><category term='distribución hipergeométrica de probabilidad'/><category term='Eurostoxx 50'/><category term='hipergeometric distribution'/><category term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito mensual Nasdaq 100'/><category term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito mensual Eurostoxx 50'/><category term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Ibex 35'/><category term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Nasdaq 100'/><category term='Nasdaq 100'/><title type='text'>El escéptico empírico probabilidad de éxito</title><subtitle type='html'></subtitle><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default?max-results=100'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/'/><link rel='hub' href='http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>6</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>100</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-2535747153296360353</id><published>2009-03-11T18:14:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-12T07:13:55.325+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Ibex 35'/><title type='text'>Ibex 35 datos semanales</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image007.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image007.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image008.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image008.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-2535747153296360353?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/2535747153296360353/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/ibex-35-datos-semanales.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/2535747153296360353'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/2535747153296360353'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/ibex-35-datos-semanales.html' title='Ibex 35 datos semanales'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-9067385308078420652</id><published>2009-03-11T18:13:00.002+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-12T07:13:18.843+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Eurostoxx 50'/><title type='text'>Eurostoxx 50 datos semanales</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image005.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image005.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image006.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image006.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-9067385308078420652?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/9067385308078420652/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/eurostoxx-50-datos-semanales.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/9067385308078420652'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/9067385308078420652'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/eurostoxx-50-datos-semanales.html' title='Eurostoxx 50 datos semanales'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-2718376411250697258</id><published>2009-03-11T18:11:00.002+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-12T07:14:30.601+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito semanal Nasdaq 100'/><title type='text'>Nasdaq 100 datos semanales</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image009.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image009.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image010.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image010.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-2718376411250697258?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/2718376411250697258/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/nasdaq-100-datos-semanales.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/2718376411250697258'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/2718376411250697258'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/nasdaq-100-datos-semanales.html' title='Nasdaq 100 datos semanales'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-6090799337620516888</id><published>2009-03-11T18:07:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-12T07:15:04.463+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito mensual Eurostoxx 50'/><title type='text'>Eurostoxx 50 datos mensuales</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image001.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image001.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image002.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image002.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-6090799337620516888?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/6090799337620516888/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/eurostoxx-50-datos-mensuales.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/6090799337620516888'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/6090799337620516888'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/eurostoxx-50-datos-mensuales.html' title='Eurostoxx 50 datos mensuales'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-8504625154149976832</id><published>2009-03-11T18:00:00.003+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-12T07:15:32.475+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Grafico de probabilidad de éxito mensual Nasdaq 100'/><title type='text'>Nasdaq 100 datos mensuales</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image003.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image003.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image004.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 600px; height: 500px;" src="http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/678851/exito/image004.gif" border="0" alt="" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-8504625154149976832?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/8504625154149976832/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/nasdaq-100-datos-mensuales.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/8504625154149976832'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/8504625154149976832'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/nasdaq-100-datos-mensuales.html' title='Nasdaq 100 datos mensuales'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8906359189428776533.post-3730865958346138934</id><published>2009-03-01T20:36:00.006+01:00</published><updated>2009-03-09T01:37:53.997+01:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='hipergeometric distribution'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='osciladores seguidores de tendencia'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Nasdaq 100'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Eurostoxx 50'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Macd'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='distribución hipergeométrica de probabilidad'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='herramienta de probabilidad de éxito'/><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Ibex 35'/><title type='text'>Herramienta de probabilidad de éxito. 1 de marzo 2009</title><content type='html'>&lt;p style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"&gt;Si suministro datos mensuales obtenidos de osciladores seguidores de tendencia, esta herramienta sigue diciéndonos que la probabilidad de salir victorioso al montar una cartera direccional alcista está próximo al 0%. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;p style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"&gt;En el supuesto de aportar datos semanales a la distribución hipergeométrica de probabilidades, obtenemos curvas que nos alertan de posibles extremos de mercado. Tanto el gráfico de probabilidad de éxito montado sobre Eurostoxx 50, como el que monto sobre Ibex 35, alcanzaron un extremo de sobrecompra el 16 de enero de 2009. A día de hoy, ambas curvas, la generada con datos semanales de osciladores seguidores de tendencia en Ibex y en Eurostoxx 50, van aproximándose hacia la parte de abajo, esto es, hacia un extremo de sobreventa. Por el momento siguen teniendo recorrido a la baja, así que parece recomendable mantener la prudencia.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8906359189428776533-3730865958346138934?l=escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/feeds/3730865958346138934/comments/default' title='Enviar comentarios'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/herramienta-de-probabilidad-de-exito-1.html#comment-form' title='0 comentarios'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/3730865958346138934'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8906359189428776533/posts/default/3730865958346138934'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://escepticoempiricoexito.blogspot.com/2009/03/herramienta-de-probabilidad-de-exito-1.html' title='Herramienta de probabilidad de éxito. 1 de marzo 2009'/><author><name>José Angel Mena</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16207250363034752649</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='24' src='http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_0t89PNhy2VA/SXpCYzIE7BI/AAAAAAAAAUw/JEE51ZgNvac/S220/pepeoficina.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry></feed>
